Re: Next Terror Strike: Endgame for India and Pakistan-
The scenario painted are all bleak. And the implication is that India should not act at all. There is a phrase to describe this: Too much analysis leads to paralysis.
The fact is that there is a terror infrastructure in Pakistan which is full time engaged in creating trouble in India. This terror infrastructure includes ISI, the jehadi organizations like JuD and large elements of the Pakistani army. The simple tactic employed by them is to bleed India through a thousand cuts. The simple solution is to raise the cost of terrorist activities by these groups. If the cost of perpetrating these activities is high, these cowards will stop it.
There are hundreds of other scenarios rather than just the four bleak scenarios painted by Mazhar Hussain:
1. The army of Pakistan is rendered weak and the civil society takes over, not as a weak second fiddle now, but as the real power.
2. A system of reward and punishment is created by the Indian govt through diplomacy which ensures that commerce and economic activity is rewarded while adventurism by Pakistani army and Jehadi group is punished severely. That means no arms supplies to Pakistan and trade treaties for genuine business.
3. Pakistan is broken into smaller countries. The capacity to create trouble will consequently less. Also, the tribal ethnicity will have a sobering influence. For example, a Sindh or for that matter a Baluchistan by itself is less likely to be as anti India as the whole of Pakistan.
As Dinkar had said:
Kshama Shobhti Us Bhujang ko Jiske Paas Garal Ho Uska Kya jo Dant Heen Vishrahit Vinit Saral Ho
When one is dealing with barbarians like Azhar Masood and Lakhvi, there is no option but to keep all options open.
Let us not forget, the ultimate purpose of all war is peace.
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